Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Seattle Sounders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Seattle Sounders 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps 0-3 Seattle Sounders | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Seattle Sounders 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 0-3 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Seattle Sounders | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in Major League Soccer (40 points from 20 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 13th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Seattle Sounders.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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