Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Eleda Stadion, Malmö
The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kalmar FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Malmo FF (1,867) and Kalmar FF (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmo FF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kalmar FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malmo FF win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kalmar FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Malmo FF 1-1 Kalmar FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Kalmar FF 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 24, 2024 | Malmo FF 5-0 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Kalmar FF 1-0 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Malmo FF 1-0 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kalmar FF | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malmo FF sit 7th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 17 matches) and Kalmar FF sit 13th (19 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
- The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kalmar FF.
- Where and when is Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF played?
- Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Eleda Stadion, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.