Match

Hoffenheim II vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim

Hoffenheim IIVerl

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoffenheim II vs Verl?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hoffenheim II (1,889) and Verl (1,971).

Hoffenheim II win34 %
Draw23 %
Verl win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Verl have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoffenheim II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)2-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Hansa Rostock(home)2-33. Liga
Aug 1, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Freiburg II(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hoffenheim II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Verl win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Verl 3-1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
Sep 13, 2025Hoffenheim II 2-4 Verl3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Verl vs Hoffenheim II on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoffenheim II1.51.919/159/15
Verl1.71.556/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Hoffenheim II2101433
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs Verl?
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hoffenheim II.
Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs Verl played?
Hoffenheim II vs Verl is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hoffenheim II and Verl

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