Hoffenheim II vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoffenheim II vs Verl?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hoffenheim II (1,889) and Verl (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Verl have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hoffenheim II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Verl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Verl 3-1 Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hoffenheim II 2-4 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Verl vs Hoffenheim II on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Verl | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs Verl?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hoffenheim II.
- Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs Verl played?
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsFC Saarbrücken
- Oct 17, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsSV Wehen
- Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsRot-Weiß Essen
- Oct 17, 2026MSV DuisburgvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Oct 17, 2026Würzburger KickersvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Oct 17, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 17, 2026SV MeppenvsHavelse
- Oct 17, 2026Fortuna KölnvsStuttgart II