Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,031) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).

VfL Wolfsburg win45 %

Draw25 %

1. FC Nürnberg win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	3-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2019	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2018	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2017	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	DFB Pokal
Apr 12, 2014	VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2013	1. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Mar 31, 2013	VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg on May 4, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.1	5	8/15	8/15
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.