Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg

VfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,015) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,025).

1. FC Nürnberg win44 %

Draw25 %

VfL Wolfsburg win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2019	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2018	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2017	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	DFB Pokal
Apr 12, 2014	VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2013	1. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Mar 31, 2013	VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg on May 4, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?: 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.