Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC NürnbergVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1. FC Nürnberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,058) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,050).

44%25%31%
1. FC Nürnberg winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1. FC Nürnberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 19P. Scobel
  1. 10J. Justvan
  2. 8J. Fernandez
  3. 23M. Zoma
  4. 6A. Marhiev
  5. 22F. Becker
  1. 20F. Otto
  2. 4A. Kalogeropoulos
  3. 32T. Janisch
  4. 41E. Porstner
  1. 1J. Reichert

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 17A. Bernhardsson
  3. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 31Y. Gerhardt
  1. 6H. Wahl
  2. 21J. Mæhle
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 2K. Fischer
  1. 30J. Zieliński

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026Hannover 96(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)4-12. Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026Havelse(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)5-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)4-42. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)5-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1. FC Nürnberg wins, 2 draws, 4 VfL Wolfsburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2019VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 1. FC NürnbergBundesliga
Dec 14, 20181. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Dec 19, 20171. FC Nürnberg 0-2 VfL WolfsburgDFB Pokal
Apr 12, 2014VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 1. FC NürnbergBundesliga
Nov 23, 20131. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Mar 31, 2013VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 1. FC NürnbergBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg on May 4, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg3.11.3312/1513/15
VfL Wolfsburg2.71.349/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (16 points from 6 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21. FC Nürnberg651016616
4VfL Wolfsburg632115811

A question about 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg

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