Karlsruher SC vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs FC St. Pauli?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,960) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karlsruher SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | FC St. Pauli 6-1 Karlsruher SC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 2-1 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 28, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 1-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Karlsruher SC 4-4 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FC St. Pauli 3-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC on Jul 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC St. Pauli | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs FC St. Pauli?
- The Footlab model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC St. Pauli.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs FC St. Pauli played?
- Karlsruher SC vs FC St. Pauli is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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