Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia BielefeldVfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and VfL Bochum (1,984).

Arminia Bielefeld win54 %
Draw24 %
VfL Bochum win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfL Bochum win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025VfL Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
May 6, 2022VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia BielefeldBundesliga
Dec 14, 2021Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL BochumBundesliga
Jan 28, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15
VfL Bochum1.31.239/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
7VfL Bochum2101113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Bochum

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