Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and VfL Bochum (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfL Bochum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | VfL Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Bochum | DFB Pokal |
| May 6, 2022 | VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld | Bundesliga |
| Dec 14, 2021 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for VfL Bochum.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 3, 2027Hannover 96vs1. FC Magdeburg
- Mar 3, 2027SpVgg Greuther FürthvsHertha BSC
- Mar 3, 2027Dynamo DresdenvsVfL Osnabrück
- Mar 3, 2027Holstein KielvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Mar 3, 20271. FC Kaiserslauternvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Mar 3, 2027Karlsruher SCvsFC St. Pauli
- Mar 3, 2027Energie CottbusvsSV Darmstadt 98