Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,026) and VfL Osnabrück (2,010).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfL Osnabrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | VfL Osnabrück 0-3 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2023 | VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 3-2 VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 2-2 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2019 | VfL Osnabrück 3-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Osnabrück.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 3, 2027VfL Wolfsburgvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Mar 3, 2027Hannover 96vs1. FC Magdeburg
- Mar 3, 2027SpVgg Greuther FürthvsHertha BSC
- Mar 3, 2027Arminia BielefeldvsVfL Bochum
- Mar 3, 2027Holstein KielvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Mar 3, 20271. FC Kaiserslauternvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Mar 3, 2027Karlsruher SCvsFC St. Pauli
- Mar 3, 2027Energie CottbusvsSV Darmstadt 98