Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Hertha BSC

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC?

Hertha BSC starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,876).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win30 %

Draw24 %

Hertha BSC win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hertha BSC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Hertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-3 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
May 4, 2025	Hertha BSC 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023	Hertha BSC 5-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC?: The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.