Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC

The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hertha BSC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC?

Hertha BSC starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 1,936).

20%22%58%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDrawHertha BSC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4-2-3-1
  1. 42O. Sillah
  1. 13P. Will
  2. 30F. Klaus
  3. 10Ole Pohlmann
  4. 6S. Bansé
  5. 8S. Appelkamp
  1. 22J. Heuer
  2. 27G. Itter
  3. 23J. Dehm
  4. 34Hendry Aron Blank
  1. 1Florian Hellstern

Hertha BSC

4-2-3-1
  1. 17S. Grønning
  1. 7J. Brekalo
  2. 8K. Sessa
  3. 30P. Seguin
  4. 23J. Þorsteinsson
  5. 19O. Adewumi
  1. 27N. Kolbe
  2. 44L. Gechter
  3. 22M. Pedersen
  4. 42D. Zeefuik
  1. 35M. Gersbeck

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hertha BSC have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Nov 6, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 31, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)0-02. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 1 draw, 4 Hertha BSC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Hertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
May 10, 2026Hertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
May 4, 2025Hertha BSC 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31.929/159/15
Hertha BSC2.20.9510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 11 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 1st (31 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Hertha BSC11101025931
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335131912

A question about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC?
The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC played?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC is played on March 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Hertha BSC