Vianense vs AD Marco 09: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab AI model makes Vianense the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for AD Marco 09. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vianense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs AD Marco 09?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Vianense (1,965) and AD Marco 09 (1,931).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianense vs AD Marco 09
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianense
4-3-3- 7Moisés Conceição
- 9Pedro Soares
- 80Rodrigo Melro
- 10Reko Silva
- 8B. Silva
- 68D. Maga
- 12João Faria
- 3Laercio
- 19G. Faria
- 21Henrique Brito
- 13Nuno Silva
AD Marco 09
4-3-3- 8Erivaldo
- 9Ka
- 10L. Garro
- 23João Guilherme
- 20B. Traoré
- 18F. Fernandes
- 4Chicão
- 77R. Barrett
- 82J. Guerrero
- 2Victor Thiago
- 64T. Martins
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AD Marco 09 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Minas de Argozelo(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leça(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vianense wins, 0 draws, 1 AD Marco 09 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09 2-0 Vianense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: AD Marco 09 vs Vianense on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AD Marco 09 score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| AD Marco 09 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vianense sit 4th in Liga 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and AD Marco 09 sit 3rd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Vianense vs AD Marco 09?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs AD Marco 09?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vianense the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for AD Marco 09.
- Where and when is Vianense vs AD Marco 09 played?
- Vianense vs AD Marco 09 is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.