Vianense vs AD Marco 09: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab model makes Vianense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for AD Marco 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs AD Marco 09?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Vianense (1,896) and AD Marco 09 (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; AD Marco 09 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Vianense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AD Marco 09 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09 2-0 Vianense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: AD Marco 09 vs Vianense on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AD Marco 09 score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| AD Marco 09 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vianense sit 6th in Liga 3 (4 points from 3 matches) and AD Marco 09 sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Vianense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs AD Marco 09?
- The Footlab model makes Vianense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for AD Marco 09.
- Where and when is Vianense vs AD Marco 09 played?
- Vianense vs AD Marco 09 is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.