São João Ver vs Trofense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube São João de Ver, São João de Ver
The Footlab AI model makes São João Ver the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-1. If São João Ver wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São João Ver vs Trofense?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate São João Ver (1,931) and Trofense (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for São João Ver vs Trofense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
São João Ver
4-3-3- 7J. Machado
- 17L. Soares
- 87Zequinha
- 29Rodrigo Valente
- 6M. Camara
- 33Washington Santana
- 55M. Vilela
- 25Ruca Morgado
- 40Matos Joao
- 4Bruno Morais
- 30S. M. Junior J.
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São João Ver have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Trofense have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 São João Ver win, 2 draws, 3 Trofense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense 1-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trofense 1-1 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | São João Ver 0-0 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | São João Ver 0-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Trofense 3-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | São João Ver 1-0 Trofense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs São João Ver on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
São João Ver score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João Ver | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São João Ver sit 7th in Liga 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Trofense sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about São João Ver vs Trofense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São João Ver vs Trofense?
- The Footlab AI model makes São João Ver the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Trofense.
- Where and when is São João Ver vs Trofense played?
- São João Ver vs Trofense is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube São João de Ver, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.