São João Ver vs Trofense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube São João de Ver, São João de Ver
The Footlab model makes São João Ver the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São João Ver vs Trofense?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate São João Ver (1,873) and Trofense (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São João Ver have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Trofense have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leça(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academica(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 São João Ver win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Trofense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trofense 1-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trofense 1-1 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | São João Ver 0-0 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | São João Ver 0-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Trofense 3-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | São João Ver 1-0 Trofense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs São João Ver on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
São João Ver score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João Ver | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São João Ver sit 9th in Liga 3 (1 points from 3 matches) and Trofense sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São João Ver vs Trofense?
- The Footlab model makes São João Ver the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Trofense.
- Where and when is São João Ver vs Trofense played?
- São João Ver vs Trofense is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube São João de Ver, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.