Guimaraes B vs Fafe: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Gémeos Castro, Guimarães
The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fafe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Fafe?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Guimaraes B (1,954) and Fafe (1,999).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guimaraes B vs Fafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 87G. Paula
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 67Rodrigo Neto
- 80R. Rocha
- 50Zeega
- 36A. Meireles
- 93Rika
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Fafe
4-3-3- 13Tiago Veiga
- 9M. Correia
- 11Picas
- 10Daniel Carvalho
- 8Mimito Biai
- 16G. Dinis
- 26João Batista
- 2Obama Ribeiro
- 15Breno
- 3P. Pereira
- 1P. Kudakovskiy
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes B have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Fafe have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leça(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guimaraes B win, 1 draw, 4 Fafe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe 1-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Guimaraes B 1-0 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Fafe 1-0 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Guimaraes B 2-6 Fafe | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Fafe 1-0 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Guimaraes B 1-2 Fafe | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes B score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fafe score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes B | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Fafe | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes B sit 10th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Fafe sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes B vs Fafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes B vs Fafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Guimaraes B vs Fafe played?
- Guimaraes B vs Fafe is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Gémeos Castro, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.