Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lusitano Évora 1911. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mafra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
On Elo ratings, Mafra has 1,962 points and Lusitano Évora 1911 1,927.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mafra
4-3-3- 7R. Matos
- 9Mamor Niang
- 11Leandro Alves
- 46Braima Samú
- 37A. Ba
- 6Y. Maïga
- 5Gonçalo Cardoso
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 13Celso Raposo
- 33Pedro Silva
Lusitano Évora 1911
4-3-3- 23Diogo Sequeira
- 20D. Silva
- 11S. A. Andrade Male
- 5I. Diagne
- 8Tiago Baptista
- 71Jannick Buyla
- 4Cassiano
- 37Rodrigo Monteiro
- 53Eurichano Carvalho
- 25João Pinto
- 22D. Martins
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mafra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lusitano Évora 1911 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mafra wins, 1 draw, 2 Lusitano Évora 1911 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mafra 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lusitano Évora 1911 4-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mafra score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitano Évora 1911 score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mafra sit 4th in Liga 3 (8 points from 6 matches) and Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lusitano Évora 1911.
- Where and when is Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911 played?
- Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911 is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Mafra, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.