Atlético CP vs SC Covilha: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs SC Covilha?
Atlético CP starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; SC Covilha have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Amora(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético CP win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SC Covilha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha 0-3 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | SC Covilha 2-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atlético CP 1-2 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SC Covilha 0-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético CP 0-0 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SC Covilha 1-3 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: SC Covilha vs Atlético CP on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; SC Covilha score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| SC Covilha | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (7 points from 3 matches) and SC Covilha sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | SC Covilha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs SC Covilha?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs SC Covilha played?
- Atlético CP vs SC Covilha is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.