Atlético CP vs SC Covilha: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,128 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs SC Covilha?
Atlético CP starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético CP vs SC Covilha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 38Caio Santana
- 20Edgar Pacheco
- 10Caleb
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 18J. Pacheco
- 7Danny
- 6A. Barbosa
- 5H. Innusah
- 8R. Coelho
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 45M. Aidara
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 22E. Gomes Silva
- 1Gustavo Galil
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; SC Covilha have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético CP wins, 2 draws, 2 SC Covilha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha 0-3 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | SC Covilha 2-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Atlético CP 1-2 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SC Covilha 0-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético CP 0-0 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SC Covilha 1-3 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: SC Covilha vs Atlético CP on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; SC Covilha score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| SC Covilha | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (13 points from 6 matches) and SC Covilha sit 8th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Atlético CP vs SC Covilha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs SC Covilha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs SC Covilha played?
- Atlético CP vs SC Covilha is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.