Victoria Hamburg vs HT16: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Hoheluft, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for HT16. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Hamburg vs HT16?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Victoria Hamburg (1,868) and HT16 (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Hamburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; HT16 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Victoria Hamburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 HT16 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg 4-4 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | HT16 0-5 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Hamburg vs HT16 on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Hamburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Hamburg (64 points from 34 matches) and HT16 sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Hamburg vs HT16?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for HT16.
- Where and when is Victoria Hamburg vs HT16 played?
- Victoria Hamburg vs HT16 is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hoheluft, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.