Sasel vs Nikola Tesla: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Nikola Tesla. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Nikola Tesla?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Sasel (1,799) and Nikola Tesla (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nikola Tesla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Curslack-Neuengamme(away) | 8-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sasel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nikola Tesla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sasel 4-4 Nikola Tesla | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Nikola Tesla 1-4 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Sasel vs Nikola Tesla on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nikola Tesla score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Nikola Tesla | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Nikola Tesla sit 15th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
| 15 | Nikola Tesla | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 95 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Nikola Tesla?
- The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Nikola Tesla.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Nikola Tesla played?
- Sasel vs Nikola Tesla is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.