Süderelbe vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Kiesbarg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Süderelbe. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Süderelbe vs Paloma?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Süderelbe (1,828) and Paloma (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Süderelbe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paloma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 8, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Süderelbe win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Paloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Paloma 2-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Süderelbe 3-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Paloma 3-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Süderelbe 2-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Süderelbe 1-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Paloma 3-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Süderelbe score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süderelbe | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Süderelbe sit 8th in Oberliga - Hamburg (51 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Süderelbe vs Paloma?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Süderelbe.
- Where and when is Süderelbe vs Paloma played?
- Süderelbe vs Paloma is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Kiesbarg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.