Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Sofia (1,689) and Botev Vratsa (1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1- 4I. Goranov
- 12I. Yurukov
- 7R. Tsonev
- 10J. Gallegos
- 24M. Smolenski
- 8A. Stoyanov
- 36M. Stoev
- 3S. Sanyang
- 25A. Buchkov
- 88L. Boyanov
- 94M. Orlinov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv Sofia wins, 1 draw, 3 Botev Vratsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-2 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| May 7, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 3-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 0-3 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 9th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.