Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Villa Santa Brígida (1,758) and Unión Sur Yaiza (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Telde(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Unión Sur Yaiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Unión Sur Yaiza 3-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Unión Sur Yaiza 3-2 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Villa Santa Brígida 0-1 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Unión Sur Yaiza 1-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (50 points from 34 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 13 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 43 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
- Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
- Villa Santa Brígida vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027MensajerovsPlayas Sotavento
- Apr 11, 2027LanzarotevsEstrella
- Apr 11, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsPanadería Pulido
- Apr 11, 2027San BartolomévsSan Fernando CD
- Apr 11, 2027Tenerife CvsLaguna de Duero
- Apr 11, 2027San MiguelvsMarino
- Apr 11, 2027AnazavsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Apr 11, 2027Villaverde NortevsLos Llanos