Lanzarote vs Estrella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Estrella?
Lanzarote starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Estrella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Estrella have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lanzarote wins, 2 draws, 0 Estrella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Estrella 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Lanzarote 2-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Estrella 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Lanzarote 2-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Lanzarote on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (6 points from 6 matches) and Estrella sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Lanzarote vs Estrella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Estrella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Estrella played?
- Lanzarote vs Estrella is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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