Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Triestina(away) | 6-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Virtus Entella win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vicenza Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Vicenza Virtus 4-1 Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 1, 2021 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Vicenza Virtus 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Vicenza Virtus 2-2 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Virtus Entella 4-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Vicenza Virtus vs Virtus Entella on Feb 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.