Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)PSV Campus De Herdgang, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If De Graafschap wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Jong PSV U21 (1,592) and De Graafschap (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong PSV U21
4-3-3- 9A. Jones
- 7S. Dumbili
- 11F. Kluit
- 8S. Sidibe
- 6B. Mulders
- 10S. Cornecion
- 4F. Merién
- 3M. Bresser
- 5M. Monamay
- 5G. Verhulst
- 1T. Smolenaars
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong PSV U21 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jong PSV U21 wins, 0 draws, 6 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jong PSV U21 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2025 | De Graafschap 3-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | De Graafschap 3-1 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 22, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 1-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong PSV U21 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong PSV U21 sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (13 points from 10 matches) and De Graafschap sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap played?
- Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at PSV Campus De Herdgang, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.