Volna vs Lida: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Valna, Pinsk
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Volna. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna vs Lida?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Volna (1,432) and Lida (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lida have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Volna win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Lida 2-4 Volna | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Lida 1-2 Volna | 1. Division |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Volna 3-2 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Volna 2-1 Lida | 1. Division |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Lida 1-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Lida 1-1 Volna | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna sit 8th in 1. Division (31 points from 21 matches) and Lida sit 3rd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna vs Lida?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Volna.
- Where and when is Volna vs Lida played?
- Volna vs Lida is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Valna, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.