Bumprom vs Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Minsk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumprom vs Minsk II?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Bumprom (1,493) and Minsk II (1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumprom have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Minsk II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bumprom win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Minsk II 1-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Minsk II 1-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Bumprom 0-1 Minsk II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumprom sit 7th in 1. Division (34 points from 21 matches) and Minsk II sit 10th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumprom vs Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Minsk II.
- Where and when is Bumprom vs Minsk II played?
- Bumprom vs Minsk II is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.