BATE II vs Ostrovets FC: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for BATE II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BATE II vs Ostrovets FC?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate BATE II (1,331) and Ostrovets FC (1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BATE II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ostrovets FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 BATE II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ostrovets FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ostrovets FC 0-0 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | BATE II 1-3 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 2-1 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 3-1 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | BATE II 3-2 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ostrovets FC vs BATE II on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BATE II sit 17th in 1. Division (17 points from 21 matches) and Ostrovets FC sit 12th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BATE II vs Ostrovets FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for BATE II.
- Where and when is BATE II vs Ostrovets FC played?
- BATE II vs Ostrovets FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.