Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Waalwijk (1,792) and VVV Venlo (1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 27F. Stokkers
- 93V. Misidjan
- 22T. van de Loo
- 11Yorem van der Veen
- 8J. Nap
- 6L. Postma
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 30J. de Wijs
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 6A. Verstraeten
- 19Thomas Janssen
- 24M. Odriss
- 33G. Blancquart
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 5Lars de Blok
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barendrecht(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | MVV(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waalwijk wins, 1 draw, 3 VVV Venlo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | VVV Venlo 0-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Waalwijk 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 8, 2021 | VVV Venlo 3-3 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Waalwijk 3-2 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Waalwijk 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Aug 3, 2019 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 13 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 2nd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 28 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 16 |
A question about Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo played?
- Waalwijk vs VVV Venlo is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.