VVV Venlo vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
KNVB BekerRound of 64Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If VVV Venlo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,765) and Vitesse (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 6A. Verstraeten
- 19Thomas Janssen
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 5Lars de Blok
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 16P. Dahbo
- 33M. Marschalk
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 2S. Bonnah
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VVV Venlo win, 2 draws, 3 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Vitesse 2-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | VVV Venlo 1-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Vitesse 1-4 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2024 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Vitesse 2-2 VVV Venlo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Vitesse 2-0 VVV Venlo | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 2.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about VVV Venlo vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Vitesse played?
- VVV Venlo vs Vitesse is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.