FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda?
NAC Breda starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,618).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Eindhoven
4-4-2- 19Kevin Ferreira
- 9K. van Veen
- 8X. Blomme
- 6G. Beaumont
- 28R. Buifrahi
- 7H. Deenen
- 4Predrag Jevtić
- 44O. Renfrum
- 20Raf van de Riet
- 17L. Netten
- 1J. Borgmans
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; NAC Breda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Eindhoven wins, 1 draw, 3 NAC Breda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | NAC Breda 4-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 8, 2026 | NAC Breda 0-2 FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2024 | NAC Breda 3-0 FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NAC Breda 2-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 2-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 21, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 1-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and NAC Breda sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
A question about FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda played?
- FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.