FC Volendam vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for MVV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs MVV?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; MVV have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Volendam win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MVV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV 1-0 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | FC Volendam 3-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | MVV 2-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MVV 0-1 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2021 | FC Volendam 5-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 30, 2021 | MVV 2-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| MVV | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and MVV sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs MVV?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for MVV.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs MVV played?
- FC Volendam vs MVV is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.