FC Volendam vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for MVV. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs MVV?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,594).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Volendam vs MVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Volendam
4-3-3- 9H. Veerman
- 7N. Doodeman
- 21Y. el Maftahi
- 10R. Niemeijer
- 8D. Huisman
- 6A. Plat
- 18N. Bukala
- 15M. Kleijn
- 25Luca Blondeau
- 3M. Amevor
- 1H. Jurjus
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Volendam wins, 2 draws, 1 MVV win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV 1-0 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | FC Volendam 3-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | MVV 2-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MVV 0-1 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2021 | FC Volendam 5-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 30, 2021 | MVV 2-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (15 points from 10 matches) and MVV sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 15 |
A question about FC Volendam vs MVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs MVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for MVV.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs MVV played?
- FC Volendam vs MVV is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.