Wales vs Croatia: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 8Kick-off on October 15, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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What was the result of Wales vs Croatia?
Wales won 2-1 on October 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 47′H. WilsonWales
- 60′H. WilsonWales
- 75′Mario PasalicCroatia
Official lineup for Wales vs Croatia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Wales
3-4-2-1- 13K. Moore
- 8H. Wilson
- 7D. Brooks
- 3N. Williams
- 15E. Ampadu
- 17J. James
- 14C. Roberts
- 4B. Davies
- 6J. Rodon
- 5C. Mepham
- 12D. Ward
Croatia
4-3-3- 14J. Brekalo
- 18P. Musa
- 7L. Majer
- 8M. Kovačić
- 11M. Brozović
- 10L. Modrić
- 3B. Barišić
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 21D. Vida
- 22J. Juranović
- 1D. Livaković
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Croatia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | Gibraltar(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Latvia(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 7, 2023 | South Korea(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Türkiye(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Armenia(home) | 2-4 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | Türkiye(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Armenia(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Latvia(home) | 5-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Spain(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Netherlands(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Wales wins, 2 draws, 1 Croatia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Croatia 1-1 Wales | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Wales 1-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia 2-1 Wales | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Croatia | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales sit 3rd in Euro Championship - Qualification (12 points from 8 matches) and Croatia sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Croatia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Wales | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Wales vs Croatia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy