Wales vs Norway: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Wales vs Norway?
Wales won 2-1 on October 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′Oscar BobbNorway
- 38′D. JamesWales
- 48′N. WilliamsWales
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Norway win at 64%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Wales vs Norway
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Wales
4-2-3-1- 9L. Koumas
- 19S. Thomas
- 10L. Cullen
- 20D. James
- 17J. James
- 5E. Ampadu
- 15J. Dasilva
- 4B. Davies
- 6B. Cabango
- 3N. Williams
- 12D. Ward
Norway
4-3-3- 21A. Schjelderup
- 9E. Haaland
- 22Oscar Bobb
- 7F. Aursnes
- 8S. Berge
- 10M. Ødegaard
- 5D. Møller Wolfe
- 17T. Heggem
- 3K. Ajer
- 14J. Ryerson
- 1Ø. Nyland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Norway have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Romania(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugal(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Denmark(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | England(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Brazil(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Ivory Coast(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Norway score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Norway | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Norway sit 4th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Wales vs Norway?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy