Denmark vs Portugal: result 2-4 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parken, København
Full time
What was the result of Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal won 2-4 on October 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′João CanceloPortugal
- 23′M. DamsgaardDenmark
- 25′Gonçalo RamosPortugal
- 53′R. HøjlundDenmark
- 67′VitinhaPortugal
- 87′João FélixPortugal
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Portugal win at 46%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Denmark vs Portugal
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Denmark
4-2-3-1- 9R. Højlund
- 20M. Daramy
- 14M. Damsgaard
- 17A. Daghim
- 23P. Højbjerg
- 21M. Hjulmand
- 5J. Mæhle
- 3O. Provstgaard
- 2J. Andersen
- 13R. Kristensen
- 16M. Hermansen
Portugal
4-2-3-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 7Rafael Leão
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 18Pedro Neto
- 23Vitinha
- 21Rúben Neves
- 19Nuno Mendes
- 13Renato Veiga
- 3Rúben Dias
- 20João Cancelo
- 1Diogo Costa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denmark have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Portugal have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wales(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Denmark win, 0 draws, 2 Portugal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Portugal 5-2 Denmark | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Denmark 1-0 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Denmark 2-3 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Portugal | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Portugal sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Denmark vs Portugal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy