Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Zagłębie Lubin II

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win39 %

Draw25 %

Zagłębie Lubin II win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	0-1	Cup

Zagłębie Lubin II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	Rakow II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2025	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Zagłębie Lubin II	II Liga - East
Aug 11, 2024	Zagłębie Lubin II 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1.2	1.5	5	6/15	8/15
Zagłębie Lubin II	1.7	2.0	2	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	5	3	2	0	11	7	11
3	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5	3	1	1	10	5	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.