Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin
The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Ślęza Wrocław (1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carina Gubin win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Carina Gubin 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Ślęza Wrocław 1-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carina Gubin 1-4 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław?
- The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ślęza Wrocław.
- Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
- Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 8, 2027ROW RybnikvsSparta Katowice
- May 8, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsStal Brzeg
- May 8, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKluczbork
- May 8, 2027Warta GorzówvsSłowianin
- May 8, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStilon Gorzów
- May 8, 2027Barycz SułówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój