Match

Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina GubinŚlęza Wrocław

The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Ślęza Wrocław (1,730).

Carina Gubin win49 %
Draw24 %
Ślęza Wrocław win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Ślęza Wrocław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)1-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(away)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Stilon Gorzów(away)1-3III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carina Gubin win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Carina Gubin 1-1 Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 20, 2025Ślęza Wrocław 2-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Feb 28, 2025Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 10, 2024Carina Gubin 1-2 Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 26, 2024Ślęza Wrocław 1-1 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 30, 2023Carina Gubin 1-4 Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15
Ślęza Wrocław1.32.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Carina Gubin51134124
16Ślęza Wrocław51045143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław?
The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ślęza Wrocław.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
Carina Gubin vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carina Gubin and Ślęza Wrocław

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