Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 8, 2027ROW RybnikvsSparta Katowice
- May 8, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsStal Brzeg
- May 8, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKluczbork
- May 8, 2027Warta GorzówvsSłowianin
- May 8, 2027Carina GubinvsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 8, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStilon Gorzów