Match

Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Barycz SułówGoczałkowice Zdrój

The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).

Barycz Sułów win53 %
Draw24 %
Goczałkowice Zdrój win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barycz Sułów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ROW Rybnik(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Kluczbork(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Goczałkowice Zdrój
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barycz Sułów1.61.236/107/10
Goczałkowice Zdrój0.91.547/158/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Barycz Sułów531110610
14Goczałkowice Zdrój5113474

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
Barycz Sułów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barycz Sułów and Goczałkowice Zdrój

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