Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth?
Middlesbrough starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1- 29M. Milovanović
- 11A. Kamara
- 7M. Pack
- 25R. Kavuma McQueen
- 10A. Segecic
- 17T. Shade
- 16J. Meghoma
- 22Z. Swanson
- 55M. Dia
- 5R. Poole
- 1N. Schmid
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Portsmouth have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Middlesbrough win, 2 draws, 3 Portsmouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Portsmouth 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Portsmouth 1-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 2nd in Championship (21 points from 10 matches) and Portsmouth sit 16th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth played?
- Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Riverside Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.