Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście played?

Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą

Wda Świecie

Flota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Wda Świecie win40 %

Draw24 %

Flota Świnoujście win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wda Świecie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wda Świecie win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Flota Świnoujście 0-3 Wda Świecie	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2025	Wda Świecie 2-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 8, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Wda Świecie	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 17, 2024	Wda Świecie 0-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Wda Świecie on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wda Świecie	1.7	2.1	3	11/15	9/15
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Wda Świecie	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście?: The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście played?: Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.