Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik played?

Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana Toruń

Kotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).

Elana Toruń win46 %

Draw24 %

Kotwica Kórnik win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Elana Toruń win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	Elana Toruń 1-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 31, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 1-0 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik?: The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik played?: Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.