Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Victoria Września

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Victoria Września (1,691).

Unia Swarzędz win47 %

Draw25 %

Victoria Września win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2026	Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Victoria Września	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 25, 2025	Victoria Września 3-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.