Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Wda Świecie (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Victoria Września 3-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie played?
- Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsElana Toruń
- Nov 7, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 7, 2026KaliszvsLuzino
- Nov 7, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsKluczevia Stargard
- Nov 7, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsPolonia Środa
- Nov 7, 2026Gedania GdanskvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 7, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 7, 2026Lipno StęszewvsUnia Swarzędz