Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dulwich Hamlet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Welling United (1,764) and Dulwich Hamlet (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dulwich Hamlet have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Welling United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dulwich Hamlet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Welling United 2-0 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Dulwich Hamlet 3-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet | National League - South |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Welling United | National League - South |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Welling United 1-3 Dulwich Hamlet | National League - South |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Dulwich Hamlet 0-1 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dulwich Hamlet score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dulwich Hamlet | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Dulwich Hamlet sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dulwich Hamlet.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet played?
- Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027LeatherheadvsDartford
- Jan 30, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsEnfield Town
- Jan 30, 2027WhitehawkvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 30, 2027AveleyvsCarshalton Athletic
- Jan 30, 2027Brentwood TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 30, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 30, 2027WhyteleafevsSt Albans City
- Jan 30, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsChatham Town