Where and when is Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig played?

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,198 vs 2,028).

Werder Bremen win32 %

Draw24 %

RB Leipzig win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; RB Leipzig have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Werder Bremen win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 RB Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025	RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
May 10, 2025	Werder Bremen 0-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Jan 12, 2025	RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
May 11, 2024	RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2023	Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen	1.6	1.5	3	8/15	7/15
RB Leipzig	1.8	1.5	4	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig played?: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.