Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Eintracht Frankfurt (2,119) and Werder Bremen (2,040).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Werder Bremen 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Werder Bremen 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Werder Bremen.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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