West Ham vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs QPR?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; QPR have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 West Ham win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 QPR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | West Ham 2-1 QPR | FA Cup |
| Apr 25, 2015 | QPR 0-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2014 | West Ham 2-0 QPR | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2013 | West Ham 1-1 QPR | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2012 | QPR 1-2 West Ham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| QPR | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 17th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and QPR sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs QPR?
- The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for QPR.
- Where and when is West Ham vs QPR played?
- West Ham vs QPR is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.