Charlton vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Charlton (1,910) and Bristol City (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 19M. Alli
- 5L. Jones
- 44Tyler Bindon
- 18I. Mesík
- 20D. McNamara
- 13A. Okonkwo
Known absences
C. SichenjeOut · Knee injury
K. RamsayOut · Ankle injury- M. GoddenOut · Muscle injury
- N. ChalobahOut · Muscle injury
- W. MannionOut · Shoulder injury
Billy Dawson KoumetioDoubtful · Muscle injury
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 12J. Knight
- 8J. Williams
- 10S. Twine
- 17J. Wallace
- 21Rio Cardines
- 19G. Tanner
- 2L. Eissat
- 5R. Atkinson
- 1S. Tickle
Known absences
- R. DickieOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Charlton win, 2 draws, 3 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Charlton 1-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Bristol City 0-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Charlton 3-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Bristol City 2-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Charlton 0-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2015 | Bristol City 1-1 Charlton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Charlton vs Bristol City on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 9th in Championship (12 points from 8 matches) and Bristol City sit 8th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Charlton vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Bristol City played?
- Charlton vs Bristol City is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.