Watford vs Burnley: result 0-4 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Burnley?
Burnley won 0-4 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. Bruun LarsenBurnley
- 19′Z. AmdouniBurnley
- 25′R. HatateBurnley
- 87′M. EdwardsBurnley
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Burnley win at 38%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Watford vs Burnley
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 21Amin Nabizada
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 29Branimir Mlačić
- 6M. Pollock
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 3Max Alleyne
- 29J. Laurent
- 23Lucas Pires
- 44Igor
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 2K. Walker
- 37G. Coudert
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Burnley have 0, 8 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Watford win, 2 draws, 3 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Burnley 2-1 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Watford 1-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Burnley | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Burnley sit 22nd (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Watford vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy