West Brom vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Birmingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Brom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Birmingham?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate West Brom (1,973) and Birmingham (2,006).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Brom vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Brom
4-4-2- 19A. Heggebø
- 11J. Morgan
- 21I. Price
- 8J. Molumby
- 17O. Diakité
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 3N. Phillips
- 6G. Campbell
- 22C. Townsend
- 1M. O’Leary
Known absences
M. JohnstonOut · Fracture
N. GalvesOut · Knee injury
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Known absences
D. GrayOut · Muscle injury
M. BirdOut · Calf injury
Marc Henry LeonardOut · Achilles injury- S. WrightOut · Off the roster
- T. Gardner-HickmanOut · Hamstring injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Birmingham have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 West Brom win, 2 draws, 3 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Birmingham 0-0 West Brom | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2025 | West Brom 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Birmingham 4-1 West Brom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2024 | West Brom 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Birmingham 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Birmingham 2-0 West Brom | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs West Brom on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 5th in Championship (14 points from 8 matches) and Birmingham sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
A question about West Brom vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Birmingham.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Birmingham played?
- West Brom vs Birmingham is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.