Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Weston-super-Mare (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Weston-super-Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Weston-super-Mare | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Maidstone UtdvsSlough Town
- Oct 31, 2026DovervsFarnham Town
- Oct 31, 2026BraintreevsHampton & Richmond
- Oct 31, 2026MaidenheadvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 31, 2026Billericay TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Oct 31, 2026Truro CityvsEbbsfleet United
- Oct 31, 2026Chesham UnitedvsFolkestone Invicta
- Oct 31, 2026AFC TottonvsChelmsford City