Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,801) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?
- Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsPelikan Łowicz
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsWigry Suwałki
- Sep 12, 2026SwitvsWeszlo
- Sep 12, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMławianka Mława
- Sep 12, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 12, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWarta Sieradz
- Sep 12, 2026TroszynvsŁomża
- Sep 12, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsLechia T. Mazowiecki