Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki

Ząbkovia Ząbki

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).

Ząbkovia Ząbki win34 %

Draw22 %

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ząbkovia Ząbki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Widzew II(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 1

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 4, 2025	Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ząbkovia Ząbki	1.4	1.9	3	7/15	10/15
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
13	Ząbkovia Ząbki	5	2	1	2	8	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.